How are public polls listed on the FiveThirtyEight polls page?
Polls conducted after June 28, 2018, the date this page was published, are listed by the date that FiveThirtyEight collected them; polls conducted before then are listed under the last date that the poll was in the field. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown.
How are state polling averages adjusted for national trends?
State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.
What is a partisan poll?
Polls are considered partisan if they’re conducted on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, or PAC, super PAC, 501 (c) (4), 501 (c) (5) or 501 (c) (6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us an email.
What does the asterisk on a poll mean?
* Polls marked with an asterisk are partisan polls. Partisanship is determined by who sponsors the poll, rather than who conducts it.
Is boric or Kast more popular in the US presidential election?
A second poll by consulting firm Atlas Intel, which had shown a draw earlier in the week, now put Boric ahead with 51% voting preferences versus 49% for Kast. The survey included 4,062 people with a margin of error of 1%.
When do polls close in Hawaii and Alaska?
Polls close in Hawaii and nearly all of Alaska at midnight Eastern. Alaska’s outlying islands close their polls, bringing Election Day — though not the tallying of votes — to a close.
How many votes are left to count in the election?
Trump leads Biden by 381,158 votes out of 10,926,262. The state is reporting that a total of 11,002,345 votes were cast in the election. So there are only 76,083 votes left to count. Even if Biden won 100% of the outstanding votes, he would still lose by 306,075
Why did my horse-race poll grade get a C+?
Pollsters that did not release any horse-race polls within three weeks of an election since 1998 do not have a grade and are treated as a C+ by the grade filter. * Polls marked with an asterisk are partisan polls. Partisanship is determined by who sponsors the poll, rather than who conducts it.
What does the 2012 exit poll data show?
Summary of 2012 Exit Poll data that shows the proportion of how different groups voted. The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted.
How is the Fox News poll conducted?
Conducted under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), the Fox News Poll includes interviews with a nationally representative sample of approximately 1,000 registered voters who were randomly selected from a national voter file and spoke with live interviewers on both landlines and cellphones.
Are the latest Fox News poll numbers really that bad for Biden?
There’s no way to spin the latest Fox News poll numbers — they are that bad for President Joe Biden. Some of the president’s steepest declines are on his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, the economy, and immigration. Most Americans favor keeping Roe v. Wade: polling